Human beings have attempted to predict the weather since time immemorial. Today,
weather forecasts are made by collecting quantitative data about the current state
of the atmosphere and using scientific understanding of atmospheric processes to
project how the atmosphere will evolve.
The chaotic nature of the atmosphere, the massive computational power required to
solve the equations that describe the atmosphere, and incomplete understanding of
atmospheric processes mean that forecasts become less accurate as the difference
in time between the present moment and the time for which the forecast is being
made (the range of the forecast) increases.
TropicaTropical cyclone seasonal forecasting is the process of predicting the number
of tropical cyclones in one of the world's seven tropical cyclone basins during
a particular tropical cyclone season. In the north Atlantic Ocean, one of the most
widely publicized annual predictions comes from the Tropical Meteorology Project
at Colorado State University. These reports are written by Philip J. Klotzbach and
William M. Gray.
See:
Tropical cyclone seasonal forecasting
See: Weather Centre
See: Hurricane & Storm Tracking
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